Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.361927 0.422873 0.491207 0.573563 0.670217 0.780167 0.914901
2024-12-22 0.266335 0.345616 0.444486 0.577136 0.750939 0.971590 1.274088
2024-12-29 0.219080 0.305337 0.421003 0.588043 0.824176 1.147663 1.627274
2025-01-05 0.180726 0.266785 0.389137 0.576697 0.858730 1.269856 1.919851
2025-01-12 0.154042 0.238924 0.365845 0.570712 0.895735 1.395852 2.232227
2025-01-19 0.135422 0.219522 0.351070 0.573464 0.943712 1.541880 2.594397
2025-01-26 0.125851 0.212497 0.353795 0.603153 1.037328 1.771399 3.125969
2025-02-02 0.117331 0.205705 0.355476 0.630512 1.129748 2.010295 3.708932
2025-02-09 0.108501 0.196971 0.352359 0.648464 1.207211 2.232462 4.294284
2025-02-16 0.099174 0.185977 0.343594 0.654511 1.262908 2.421428 4.844261
2025-02-23 0.089813 0.173615 0.330604 0.650501 1.298230 2.575526 5.347439
2025-03-02 0.079774 0.158637 0.310734 0.630216 1.298149 2.659205 5.717510
2025-03-09 0.075294 0.154237 0.311205 0.651607 1.387674 2.940372 6.560101
2025-03-16 0.069306 0.146039 0.303119 0.654308 1.438605 3.148863 7.279518
2025-03-23 0.064917 0.140580 0.299891 0.666759 1.512158 3.416159 8.176256
2025-03-30 0.058854 0.130729 0.286084 0.653845 1.526483 3.552126 8.782969
2025-04-06 0.053966 0.122861 0.275611 0.647033 1.553854 3.721806 9.500144
2025-04-13 0.050321 0.117359 0.269745 0.650165 1.605366 3.956242 10.420948
2025-04-20 0.049064 0.117262 0.276259 0.683957 1.737315 4.407700 11.989365
2025-04-27 0.047661 0.116636 0.281430 0.715103 1.867073 4.872763 13.676141
2025-05-04 0.045690 0.114371 0.282351 0.735542 1.971833 5.288068 15.296595
2025-05-11 0.043124 0.110296 0.278295 0.742428 2.041182 5.618495 16.729854
2025-05-18 0.040196 0.104941 0.270360 0.737861 2.078306 5.865474 17.958191